Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
FLA
3 - 2
SAO
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
ATM
2 - 4
FLA
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
SPO
1 - 0
FLA
36%
28%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 1997 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
60%
22%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
POR
3 - 0
FLA
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1997 |
BOT
1 - 1
GUA
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
BOT
1 - 1
UNI
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
CRI
1 - 0
BOT
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
BOT
3 - 1
ATP
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
PAL
3 - 1
BOT
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |