Flamengo vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FLA
2 - 0
LIG
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FLA
1 - 0
BAH
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
CCS
1 - 1
FLA
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CRZ
2 - 1
FLA
45%
27%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 1
BOT
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 3
FLO
73%
19%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
54%
27%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 0
ABC
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |