Flamengo vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
FLA
10%
19%
72%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
COT
1 - 0
FLA
12%
20%
68%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
COR
67%
21%
13%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
ATP
69%
19%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 2
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 0
CEA
25%
29%
46%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
AVA
74%
18%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CUI
1 - 0
AVA
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 0
AVA
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |