Flamengo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis

Flamengo Athletico Paranaense
81 ELO 78
0.2% Tilt -6%
127º General ELO ranking 119º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
56.3%
Flamengo
24.3%
Draw
19.4%
Athletico Paranaense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.4%
Win probability
Athletico Paranaense
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo
+15%
-5%
Athletico Paranaense

ELO progression

Flamengo
Athletico Paranaense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
52%
24%
24%
81 80 1 0
17 Mar. 2016
CON
Confiança
1 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
10%
20%
70%
81 54 27 0
12 Mar. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Madureira RJ
MAD
83%
13%
4%
81 55 26 0
09 Mar. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
Figueirense
FFL
62%
22%
16%
82 74 8 -1
05 Mar. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 1
Bangu
BAN
83%
13%
4%
82 53 29 0

Matches

Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2016
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
0 - 2
Coritiba
COT
46%
26%
28%
77 77 0 0
18 Mar. 2016
BRA
Brasil de Pelotas
1 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
15%
24%
61%
77 57 20 0
12 Mar. 2016
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
4 - 0
PSTC
PST
83%
12%
4%
77 45 32 0
09 Mar. 2016
CRZ
Cruzeiro
2 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
64%
22%
14%
78 85 7 -1
06 Mar. 2016
LON
Londrina
1 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
14%
24%
62%
78 58 20 0