Flamengo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAD
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 1
FFL
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 1
BAN
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 2
COT
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
ATP
15%
24%
61%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ATP
4 - 0
PST
83%
12%
4%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 1
ATP
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LON
1 - 1
ATP
14%
24%
62%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |