Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 5-0
Flamengo vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
0 - 1
FLA
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 2
VAS
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 0
VOL
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
FLA
2 - 1
ASA
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
AME
2 - 2
FLA
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
0 - 1
FLA
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 1
ABC
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
2 - 2
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
1 - 2
PEC
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
1 - 2
POT
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |