Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 0-6
Flamengo PI vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
71.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 0
FLA
90%
8%
2%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
74%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
64%
20%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
COR
0 - 1
FLA
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
COR
3 - 0
FLA
94%
5%
1%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 2
VAS
18%
25%
57%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
OLA
0 - 3
VAS
13%
19%
68%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
ATP
2 - 2
VAS
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |