Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-6
Flamengo PI vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
65.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
CEA
2 - 1
FLA
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
ABC
1 - 2
FLA
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1985 |
PAY
2 - 0
FLA
70%
19%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
NAC
3 - 1
FLA
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1985 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAM
46%
24%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1994 |
VAS
1 - 0
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
VAS
0 - 0
BAH
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1994 |
BOT
0 - 0
VAS
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1994 |
PAL
3 - 0
VAS
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |