Flamengo PI vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
FLA
1 - 0
CSA
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1985 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLA
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 0
FLA
66%
22%
12%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
DES
3 - 1
FLA
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
FLA
1 - 4
PAL
13%
28%
59%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
SAM
2 - 2
SER
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1985 |
SER
0 - 1
MIX
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
SER
2 - 1
NAC
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
SER
2 - 6
BOT
24%
29%
46%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1983 |
AME
4 - 3
SER
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |