Flamengo PI vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLA
52%
25%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 1
FLA
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 2
4DE
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 1
FLA
66%
22%
12%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
FLA
0 - 2
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 2
RIV
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 0
PAR
59%
23%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 1
RIV
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
4DE
1 - 0
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 5
FLU
4%
13%
83%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |