Flamengo PI vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 3
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 0
FLA
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
4DE
1 - 0
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
4DE
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
FOR
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 0
RIV
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
BOT
35%
28%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
CAI
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |