Flamengo PI vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 3
FLA
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
PIA
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLA
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
PIC
38%
25%
38%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 2
CAC
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 1
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
RIV
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 2
CAC
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 1
PAR
38%
25%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |