Flamengo PI vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
IMP
3 - 0
FLA
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 1
IMP
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 0
FLA
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 1
MAR
33%
27%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
CAC
2 - 1
FLA
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
RIV
4 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
RIV
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 0
FLA
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
IMP
1 - 1
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
4DE
1 - 1
RIV
36%
24%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |