Flamengo PI vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
VOL
0 - 0
FLA
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1976 |
ARN
1 - 2
FLA
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
FLA
1 - 2
SPO
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
FLA
0 - 0
ABC
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1976 |
NAU
0 - 0
VOL
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
NAU
2 - 1
ABC
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAU
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
NAU
0 - 3
FLA
44%
28%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |