Flamengo PI vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
FER
3 - 0
FLA
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 0
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
TRE
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
4DE
0 - 1
FLA
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
4DE
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
FER
3 - 0
FLA
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 0
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
FER
0 - 1
ALE
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
FER
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
FER
0 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |