Flamengo PI vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
71.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
FLA
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
VIT
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
PIC
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 0
FLA
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
FLA
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 1
MAR
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
3 - 1
SAM
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CEA
3 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
CEA
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 2
CEA
15%
21%
64%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |