Flamengo PI vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
FLA
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FLA
3 - 0
PIA
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
FLA
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 0
4DE
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 2
FLA
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
PAR
20%
21%
58%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 1
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
PIA
23%
23%
53%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 2
RIV
18%
23%
59%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 2
PAR
23%
22%
56%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |