Flamengo PI vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
PIA
1 - 1
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FLA
5 - 2
PAR
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +5 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
CAC
29%
25%
47%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 1
PIC
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
4DE
2 - 0
FLA
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 6
4DE
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 5
RIV
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
PIC
2 - 0
CAI
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 1
PIA
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 3
PAR
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |