Flamengo PI vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PIA
3 - 0
FLA
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
OEI
1 - 4
FLA
17%
21%
63%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
FLA
0 - 1
RIV
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 0
4DE
60%
21%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2005 |
FLA
2 - 5
CAC
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2005 |
PIA
4 - 2
CAI
81%
12%
6%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
CAI
1 - 1
PIA
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +3 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CAI
3 - 1
RIV
15%
20%
66%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
4DE
0 - 1
CAI
79%
14%
8%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
PIA
2 - 1
CAI
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |