Flamengo PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
ECT
2 - 2
FLA
11%
17%
73%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
FLA
0 - 2
ALT
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAR
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
4DE
2 - 1
FLA
57%
24%
19%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
ALT
4 - 2
FLA
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PIC
0 - 0
4DE
42%
25%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
4DE
1 - 1
PAR
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 1
4DE
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
4DE
1 - 2
ALT
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 1
4DE
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |