Flamengo PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 2
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
4 - 2
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PIA
0 - 0
FLA
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
PIC
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLA
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 1
4DE
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
4DE
1 - 3
RIV
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PIC
2 - 0
4DE
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
4DE
0 - 0
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 0
4DE
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |