Flamengo PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
COR
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
PIA
2 - 1
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
RIV
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
CAC
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
CAC
1 - 0
4DE
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
4DE
1 - 1
CAC
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
4DE
44%
24%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
4DE
3 - 2
PIC
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
COR
0 - 0
4DE
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |