Piauiense Inicial Final
Global 5-4
Flamengo PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
1 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PIC
2 - 3
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 0
PIC
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
4 - 1
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLA
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
1 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
0 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
4DE
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
5 - 1
PDS
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
PDS
0 - 5
4DE
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |