Flamengo Ngagara vs Union Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo Ngagara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 5
INT
50%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
TCH
1 - 2
FLA
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
MUZ
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
ROY
2 - 0
FLA
53%
23%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Union Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
USP
0 - 1
VIT
53%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MUZ
1 - 1
USP
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
USP
0 - 4
ATH
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
INT
3 - 1
USP
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
USP
1 - 1
KFC
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |