Flamengo Ngagara vs Union Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo Ngagara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 1
TCH
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
USP
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
TCH
2 - 0
FLA
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
PRI
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ESM
1 - 0
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Union Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ROY
1 - 0
USP
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
USP
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
USP
5 - 1
ROY
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
USP
2 - 1
TCH
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MAF
3 - 5
USP
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |