Flamengo Ngagara vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo Ngagara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
ESM
0 - 0
FLA
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
INT
4 - 0
FLA
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 4
ATH
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 5
GDL
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
ROY
1 - 0
FLA
45%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
INT
4 - 0
NGO
52%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MUZ
2 - 3
NGO
47%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
NGO
2 - 1
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
TCH
0 - 2
NGO
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
NGO
2 - 2
TCH
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |