Flamengo Ngagara vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo Ngagara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FLA
3 - 0
TCH
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ATH
4 - 1
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 2
LLB
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PRI
2 - 0
FLA
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 3
INT
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PRI
2 - 3
NGO
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
NGO
2 - 0
ROY
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
NGO
1 - 2
ATH
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LLB
2 - 2
NGO
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
NGO
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |