Flambeau du Centre vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flambeau du Centre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 0
BUM
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 1
FLA
11%
16%
73%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
KAY
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NCF
2 - 1
FLA
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
NGO
1 - 1
ROY
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NGO
1 - 0
INT
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
DYN
1 - 2
NGO
38%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NGO
0 - 0
MFC
37%
28%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MSU
0 - 4
NGO
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |