Flambeau du Centre vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flambeau du Centre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
FLA
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
ANM
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MYB
1 - 4
FLA
21%
20%
60%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
TIN
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
DYN
1 - 4
FLA
38%
27%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NGO
0 - 1
MFC
37%
29%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
NGO
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
NGO
1 - 0
INT
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KAY
1 - 0
NGO
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NGO
2 - 1
TEL
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |