Copa del Presidente Burundi Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Flambeau du Centre vs Bumamuru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flambeau du Centre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
ANM
0 - 1
FLA
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
MSU
0 - 3
FLA
17%
19%
64%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
DAB
0 - 3
FLA
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FLA
1 - 2
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
ANM
2 - 1
FLA
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bumamuru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
LLF
0 - 6
BUM
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
STA
1 - 1
BUM
45%
25%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BUM
0 - 1
NGO
48%
24%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MFC
2 - 0
BUM
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BUM
2 - 0
DYN
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |