Flambeau de l'Est vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flambeau de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 0
BUM
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
LLB
2 - 0
FLA
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
NCF
1 - 0
FLA
39%
27%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 0
BUJ
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BUJ
1 - 1
FLA
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MFC
1 - 1
NGO
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
NGO
1 - 0
RUK
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NGO
3 - 0
LLF
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
LLB
1 - 0
NGO
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
KAY
0 - 1
NGO
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |