Flambeau de l'Est vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flambeau de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 0
LLB
38%
28%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2017 |
LLB
3 - 1
FLA
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
NGO
2 - 0
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 2
LLF
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 0
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
NGO
2 - 0
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
NGO
2 - 1
LLF
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
NGO
3 - 0
ATH
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ANM
1 - 2
NGO
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NGO
5 - 1
ROY
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |