Flambeau de l'Est vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flambeau de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
OMU
2 - 1
FLA
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 2
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BUJ
4 - 1
FLA
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PRI
2 - 1
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
NGO
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
NGO
0 - 0
ANM
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
NGO
0 - 1
BUJ
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ATH
0 - 0
NGO
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ROY
1 - 2
NGO
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |