Flambeau de l'Est vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flambeau de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 1
FLA
45%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
VOL
1 - 2
FLA
48%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
LLB
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 2
VIT
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FLA
3 - 1
RUS
44%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
NGO
0 - 1
BEN
16%
22%
62%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
NGO
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
NGO
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
NGO
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TCH
0 - 6
NGO
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |