FK ZOV vs Torpedo Moskva III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+864%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
3º
16
9º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 38 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 18 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK ZOV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
4 - 1
ZOV
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
ZOV
2 - 0
RMO
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
FKL
0 - 0
ZOV
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FKR
1 - 3
ZOV
95%
4%
2%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
FKZ
5 - 2
ZOV
91%
6%
3%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Torpedo Moskva III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SSM
0 - 0
TMO
32%
22%
47%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
TMO
90%
8%
3%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
TMO
2 - 4
FKK
11%
15%
73%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
RMO
4 - 2
TMO
55%
20%
24%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
TMO
1 - 6
FKL
10%
14%
76%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |