Zhenis vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
41.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
12º
10º
39
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zhenis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 1
AST
32%
30%
38%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ATY
2 - 1
FKZ
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 0
KAI
33%
29%
39%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
FKZ
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 2
FCA
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
SHA
48%
26%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TOB
3 - 0
FCA
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
TOB
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 1
ATY
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 2
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |