FSC Mariupol vs Zorya Luhansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
77.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FYM
2 - 3
HSP
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MYK
0 - 0
FYM
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KRE
0 - 3
FYM
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FYM
2 - 2
MEZ
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
FKC
0 - 1
FYM
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
ZOR
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
ZOR
21%
24%
55%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ZOR
0 - 1
SKD
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
ZOR
1 - 1
GEN
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
ZOR
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |