FSC Mariupol vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
8º
6º
24
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 16 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 14 |
4º
|
67% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 13 |
5º
|
67% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 4 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
PRY
0 - 0
FYM
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FYM
1 - 2
POL
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FKK
1 - 0
FYM
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MYK
0 - 1
FYM
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MEZ
1 - 0
FYM
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
POK
1 - 1
MYK
41%
29%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MEZ
1 - 2
POK
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
MET
0 - 0
POK
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
POK
1 - 2
FED
22%
28%
49%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
NYV
2 - 1
POK
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |