FSC Mariupol vs Karpaty Lviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
61.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
10º
10º
65
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 9 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 9 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
PRY
1 - 0
FYM
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FYM
0 - 1
FED
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
FYM
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
FYM
0 - 0
FNB
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KPT
3 - 1
FYM
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Karpaty Lviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
MYK
0 - 0
KPT
20%
28%
52%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
KPT
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KPT
1 - 2
INH
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
KPT
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KPT
3 - 1
FYM
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |