FSC Mariupol vs FK Epitsentr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
15º
16º
16º
27
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FYM
0 - 2
POL
21%
26%
53%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PRY
2 - 2
FYM
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FYM
1 - 1
KPT
18%
23%
60%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FYM
0 - 2
FCD
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BUK
3 - 1
FYM
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FK Epitsentr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
FED
3 - 2
FCD
49%
28%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
POL
3 - 0
FED
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FED
0 - 0
BUK
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PRY
1 - 0
FED
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FED
1 - 1
NYV
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |