FSC Mariupol vs Bukovyna Chernivtsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
15º
16º
16º
9
11º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NYV
1 - 1
FYM
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FYM
0 - 1
FED
18%
23%
60%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FYM
0 - 2
POL
21%
26%
53%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PRY
2 - 2
FYM
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FYM
1 - 1
KPT
18%
23%
60%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BUK
1 - 2
POL
12%
26%
62%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
PRY
2 - 1
BUK
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BUK
1 - 2
KPT
16%
23%
61%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 1
BUK
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FED
0 - 0
BUK
68%
21%
12%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |