Vardarski vs FK Borec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+143%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
16º
16º
17
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vardarski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
12 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 4
DEP
13%
18%
69%
|
13 | 50 | 37 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
KGE
1 - 0
VAR
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
0 - 3
FKS
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 1
OSO
13%
17%
69%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
FK Borec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
FKB
2 - 1
SAS
16%
21%
62%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 1
FKB
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FKB
0 - 1
POB
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 1
FKB
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FKB
3 - 1
SAS
20%
23%
56%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |