FC Van vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 2
VAN
43%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
VAN
3 - 2
PYU
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
GAN
1 - 2
VAN
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
ARA
2 - 1
VAN
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VAN
2 - 2
NOA
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
AVA
0 - 0
UCL
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
AVA
6 - 0
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
NOA
2 - 0
AVA
48%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
AVA
4 - 0
BKM
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
NOA
3 - 1
AVA
45%
23%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |