FC Van vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
56.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 0
VAN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
VAN
0 - 1
ALA
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
VAN
0 - 0
NOV
38%
22%
40%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
FCL
0 - 1
VAN
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
VAN
1 - 0
PYU
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AVA
7 - 0
SHI
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 2
CRV
18%
22%
61%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 0
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
4 - 3
FOL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 2
FCL
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |