Ustrem Donchevo vs Ludogorets III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
72.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
14º
10º
61
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 98.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
FKR
4 - 1
UST
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
UST
1 - 2
BIS
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
UST
11%
16%
73%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UST
2 - 2
FSV
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CMV
2 - 2
UST
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 0
DOR
91%
7%
3%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 0
LUD
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LUD
3 - 1
FKR
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 3
LUD
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
4 - 1
LOR
94%
5%
1%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |