Ustrem Donchevo vs Ludogorets III analysis

Ustrem Donchevo Ludogorets III
22 ELO 47
0.4% Tilt 14.9%
11078º General ELO ranking 5137º
107º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
9.4%
Ustrem Donchevo
14.8%
Draw
75.7%
Ludogorets III

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
Ustrem Donchevo
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
75.7%
Win probability
Ludogorets III
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ustrem Donchevo
-33%
-11%
Ludogorets III

Points and table prediction

Ustrem Donchevo
Their league position
Ludogorets III
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
14º
12º
54
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chernomorets Balchik
74
77
100%
Septemvri Tervel
65
68
100%
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
56
56
100%
Chernolomets 1919
52
55
88.5%
Ludogorets III
54
54
88.5%
Cherno More Varna II
46
49
100%
Riltzi
46
46
100%
Spartak Varna II
41
44
100%
Dorostol
40
40
100%
Dunav Ruse II
10º
22
25
10º
72%
Volov Shumen
11º
22
22
11º
66.5%
Ustrem Donchevo
12º
21
21
12º
73.5%
Lokomotiv Ruse
13º
20
20
13º
81%
Sportist General Toshevo
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Botev Novi Pazar
15º
12
12
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ustrem Donchevo
Ludogorets III
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
82% 100%
Relegation play-offs
18% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ustrem Donchevo
Ludogorets III
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ustrem Donchevo
Ustrem Donchevo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
SEP
Septemvri Tervel
2 - 1
Ustrem Donchevo
UST
84%
12%
4%
24 51 27 0
19 Feb. 2023
UST
Ustrem Donchevo
0 - 4
Cherno More Varna II
CMV
16%
18%
67%
25 39 14 -1
30 Nov. 2022
CHE
Chernomorets Balchik
1 - 0
Ustrem Donchevo
UST
86%
11%
4%
25 54 29 0
19 Nov. 2022
FKR
Riltzi
4 - 1
Ustrem Donchevo
UST
36%
21%
44%
27 24 3 -2
13 Nov. 2022
UST
Ustrem Donchevo
2 - 0
Sportist General Toshevo
SGT
76%
14%
10%
27 18 9 0

Matches

Ludogorets III
Ludogorets III
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2023
LUD
Ludogorets III
6 - 2
Lokomotiv Ruse
LOR
95%
4%
1%
46 11 35 0
19 Feb. 2023
SVE
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
1 - 1
Ludogorets III
LUD
35%
25%
40%
46 43 3 0
20 Nov. 2022
SEP
Septemvri Tervel
3 - 2
Ludogorets III
LUD
57%
22%
21%
46 50 4 0
12 Nov. 2022
LUD
Ludogorets III
2 - 1
Cherno More Varna II
CMV
65%
19%
16%
46 41 5 0
06 Nov. 2022
CHE
Chernomorets Balchik
3 - 0
Ludogorets III
LUD
61%
22%
17%
47 54 7 -1