Ustrem Donchevo vs Riltzi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
48.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
14º
10º
33
5º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 0
UST
51%
22%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
2 - 1
UST
21%
19%
60%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UST
2 - 1
LOR
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 0
UST
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UST
5 - 1
SVE
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +4 |
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FKR
1 - 2
CHE
34%
25%
42%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FKR
1 - 3
FCF
66%
17%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FKR
1 - 1
LUD
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
FKR
25%
22%
54%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 0
FKR
11%
16%
73%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | -1 |