Ustrem Donchevo vs Cherno More Varna II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
73.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
14º
10º
53
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
UST
0 - 4
CHE
5%
14%
81%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
UST
2 - 2
FKR
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SGT
2 - 1
UST
27%
20%
54%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
UST
1 - 2
FSV
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 0
UST
82%
11%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CMV
1 - 1
LOR
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 3
CMV
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
CMV
2 - 4
CHE
21%
23%
57%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CMV
1 - 0
LUD
40%
25%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
CMV
1 - 2
DOR
75%
14%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |