Union vs Dobele Allegro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
70.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
SPS
2 - 2
FKU
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dobele Allegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
DAL
1 - 0
LUD
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
DAL
0 - 1
AUG
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UPE
0 - 3
DAL
15%
17%
69%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
DAL
3 - 0
BJS
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BAB
3 - 0
DAL
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 60 | 43 | 0 |