Ulpiana vs Arbëria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulpiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FCD
3 - 1
KFU
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
KFU
0 - 0
FER
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
KFU
3 - 0
VEL
54%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
KFU
0 - 3
PRI
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
KFD
1 - 1
KFU
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arbëria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
KFA
4 - 0
VIT
90%
7%
3%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FCD
2 - 0
KFA
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
KFA
3 - 2
LLA
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
KFA
1 - 1
DSK
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
KFB
2 - 3
KFA
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |