FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
8º
55
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 4
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 0
FKT
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 3
VAL
21%
20%
59%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 1
FKT
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 4
RIG
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
BFC
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 4
VAL
13%
22%
66%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 0
VAL
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
GRO
59%
22%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |